ULTRA UST BOND COT report

ULTRA UST BOND - CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE positioning from the CFTC Legacy report. Net positions equal long contracts minus short contracts. Commercial, non-commercial and non-reportable classifications describe participants; they are not buy or sell signals.

Positions as of 2026-10-27. Open interest: 2347429 contracts. This is the latest stored observation, not live trading data.

How are traders positioned?

CategoryLongShortNet contracts
Non-commercial130487514065-383578
Commercial19808981616575364323
Non-reportable20353918428419255

Non-commercial percentile: 2 across 103 stored observations. This is the share of sampled net positions at or below the latest value, not a price forecast.

2024-11-122026-10-27
Range: -406045 to -189714 net contracts; chart covers stored observations only.
Position history in contracts
Observation dateNon-commercial net
2026-10-27-383578
2026-10-20-375161
2026-10-13-321597
2026-10-06-276339
2026-09-29-326436
2026-09-22-336725
2026-09-15-345203
2026-09-08-345140
2026-09-01-369311
2026-08-25-406045
2026-08-18-346724
2026-08-11-326783
2026-08-04-314985
2026-07-28-320708
2026-07-21-321350
2026-07-14-324407
2026-07-07-307819
2026-06-30-286669
2026-06-23-318100
2026-06-16-321827
2026-06-09-318731
2026-06-02-287710
2026-05-26-259842
2026-05-19-254464
2026-05-12-238994
2026-05-05-259435
2026-04-28-294285
2026-04-21-300287
2026-04-14-300823
2026-04-07-260383
2026-03-31-268129
2026-03-24-279187
2026-03-17-271137
2026-03-10-290102
2026-03-03-255694
2026-02-24-280487
2026-02-17-275188
2026-02-10-270546
2026-02-03-269089
2026-01-27-273471
2026-01-20-258822
2026-01-13-235097
2026-01-06-245747
2025-12-30-255139
2025-12-23-232146
2025-12-16-250309
2025-12-09-235983
2025-12-02-265880
2025-11-25-283658
2025-11-18-285683
2025-11-10-317901
2025-11-04-300547
2025-10-28-297053
2025-10-21-299110
2025-10-14-296811
2025-10-07-266858
2025-09-30-259449
2025-09-23-270759
2025-09-16-278167
2025-09-09-265481
2025-09-02-263219
2025-08-26-248945
2025-08-19-242162
2025-08-12-209132
2025-08-05-228367
2025-07-29-216813
2025-07-22-232343
2025-07-15-228618
2025-07-08-222824
2025-07-01-226962
2025-06-24-209526
2025-06-17-189714
2025-06-10-203747
2025-06-03-228443
2025-05-27-233472
2025-05-20-246135
2025-05-13-261222
2025-05-06-264775
2025-04-29-251394
2025-04-22-247602
2025-04-15-220057
2025-04-08-200310
2025-04-01-254029
2025-03-25-232366
2025-03-18-247158
2025-03-11-251394
2025-03-04-231904
2025-02-25-227735
2025-02-18-246242
2025-02-11-239941
2025-02-04-243616
2025-01-28-241592
2025-01-21-229988
2025-01-14-242422
2025-01-07-247388
2024-12-31-238742
2024-12-24-204292
2024-12-17-219304
2024-12-10-216372
2024-12-03-214352
2024-11-26-194686
2024-11-19-225304
2024-11-12-241284

Historical AI commentary — 2026-07-07

This commentary is dated separately from the positioning table. It may describe an earlier market environment.

30Y Treasury positioning is at a historic extreme with Asset Managers at their maximum long position (100th percentile) and Dealers at their minimum (0th percentile). This extreme crowding suggests the market is heavily betting on lower yields, but the recent velocity shows this bet is still building, not reversing, meaning the trend could continue before any potential snapback.

How should this COT report be used?

Use positioning to understand exposure and crowded trades alongside price, liquidity and risk controls. Weekly reports generally describe Tuesday positions released on Friday, subject to the CFTC schedule. Classifications differ in TFF and Disaggregated reports. Compare like-for-like formats and dates.

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