UST 10Y NOTE COT report

UST 10Y NOTE - CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE positioning from the CFTC Legacy report. Net positions equal long contracts minus short contracts. Commercial, non-commercial and non-reportable classifications describe participants; they are not buy or sell signals.

Positions as of 2026-10-27. Open interest: 5881588 contracts. This is the latest stored observation, not live trading data.

How are traders positioned?

CategoryLongShortNet contracts
Non-commercial6682301649768-981538
Commercial46484473690486957961
Non-reportable42046939689223577

Non-commercial percentile: 3 across 103 stored observations. This is the share of sampled net positions at or below the latest value, not a price forecast.

2024-11-122026-10-27
Range: -1078470 to -534883 net contracts; chart covers stored observations only.
Position history in contracts
Observation dateNon-commercial net
2026-10-27-981538
2026-10-20-964293
2026-10-13-988102
2026-10-06-896481
2026-09-29-900615
2026-09-22-811752
2026-09-15-821236
2026-09-08-834783
2026-09-01-909275
2026-08-25-838975
2026-08-18-946961
2026-08-11-915053
2026-08-04-979243
2026-07-28-876119
2026-07-21-879706
2026-07-14-831675
2026-07-07-814262
2026-06-30-808891
2026-06-23-835266
2026-06-16-911082
2026-06-09-863807
2026-06-02-829575
2026-05-26-787954
2026-05-19-848052
2026-05-12-781167
2026-05-05-815269
2026-04-28-839137
2026-04-21-790971
2026-04-14-800365
2026-04-07-823624
2026-03-31-784063
2026-03-24-641887
2026-03-17-597878
2026-03-10-534883
2026-03-03-654507
2026-02-24-774020
2026-02-17-877853
2026-02-10-813027
2026-02-03-729414
2026-01-27-726151
2026-01-20-655640
2026-01-13-870505
2026-01-06-915552
2025-12-30-939658
2025-12-23-742370
2025-12-16-670108
2025-12-09-686764
2025-12-02-736955
2025-11-25-781383
2025-11-18-753697
2025-11-10-820807
2025-11-04-859245
2025-10-28-910930
2025-10-21-846523
2025-10-14-830797
2025-10-07-787958
2025-09-30-739908
2025-09-23-844116
2025-09-16-819299
2025-09-09-857972
2025-09-02-868358
2025-08-26-883829
2025-08-19-945516
2025-08-12-942223
2025-08-05-959834
2025-07-29-896630
2025-07-22-749534
2025-07-15-772377
2025-07-08-840579
2025-07-01-783662
2025-06-24-680131
2025-06-17-752899
2025-06-10-724101
2025-06-03-705256
2025-05-27-769604
2025-05-20-851431
2025-05-13-890351
2025-05-06-953168
2025-04-29-871537
2025-04-22-906106
2025-04-15-937755
2025-04-08-1078470
2025-04-01-863263
2025-03-25-810090
2025-03-18-881374
2025-03-11-737075
2025-03-04-712040
2025-02-25-699855
2025-02-18-709527
2025-02-11-751034
2025-02-04-707703
2025-01-28-700642
2025-01-21-580245
2025-01-14-567935
2025-01-07-672446
2024-12-31-653763
2024-12-24-591374
2024-12-17-732917
2024-12-10-875716
2024-12-03-891901
2024-11-26-926603
2024-11-19-907502
2024-11-12-815801

Historical AI commentary — 2026-07-07

This commentary is dated separately from the positioning table. It may describe an earlier market environment.

SUMMARY: The 10y Treasury market is at a historic positioning extreme. Dealers are at their most net short on record (0.0th percentile), while Asset Managers are at their most net long (100.0th percentile). This extreme dealer short position, combined with a declining speculative long trend, suggests the market is pricing in a specific yield trajectory, but the velocity of the unwind makes the ...

How should this COT report be used?

Use positioning to understand exposure and crowded trades alongside price, liquidity and risk controls. Weekly reports generally describe Tuesday positions released on Friday, subject to the CFTC schedule. Classifications differ in TFF and Disaggregated reports. Compare like-for-like formats and dates.

Open interactive charts · Trader category guide · Report formats