UST 2Y NOTE COT report

UST 2Y NOTE - CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE positioning from the CFTC Legacy report. Net positions equal long contracts minus short contracts. Commercial, non-commercial and non-reportable classifications describe participants; they are not buy or sell signals.

Positions as of 2026-10-27. Open interest: 4524447 contracts. This is the latest stored observation, not live trading data.

How are traders positioned?

CategoryLongShortNet contracts
Non-commercial7375911747067-1009476
Commercial34815072504458977049
Non-reportable20314017071332427

Non-commercial percentile: 89 across 103 stored observations. This is the share of sampled net positions at or below the latest value, not a price forecast.

2024-11-122026-10-27
Range: -1743353 to -792024 net contracts; chart covers stored observations only.
Position history in contracts
Observation dateNon-commercial net
2026-10-27-1009476
2026-10-20-856783
2026-10-13-911579
2026-10-06-852904
2026-09-29-792024
2026-09-22-907065
2026-09-15-855353
2026-09-08-929107
2026-09-01-882518
2026-08-25-861296
2026-08-18-927337
2026-08-11-1021043
2026-08-04-1004228
2026-07-28-1124574
2026-07-21-1154597
2026-07-14-1157477
2026-07-07-1261008
2026-06-30-1287581
2026-06-23-1318846
2026-06-16-1270507
2026-06-09-1219838
2026-06-02-1350188
2026-05-26-1255246
2026-05-19-1560837
2026-05-12-1602612
2026-05-05-1673329
2026-04-28-1709263
2026-04-21-1743353
2026-04-14-1703806
2026-04-07-1712015
2026-03-31-1637324
2026-03-24-1638179
2026-03-17-1482667
2026-03-10-1338236
2026-03-03-1338541
2026-02-24-1348036
2026-02-17-1234408
2026-02-10-1289687
2026-02-03-1347602
2026-01-27-1218999
2026-01-20-1225122
2026-01-13-1304880
2026-01-06-1346654
2025-12-30-1399607
2025-12-23-1362703
2025-12-16-1351133
2025-12-09-1388733
2025-12-02-1305341
2025-11-25-1266676
2025-11-18-1345279
2025-11-10-1291174
2025-11-04-1338743
2025-10-28-1312475
2025-10-21-1278422
2025-10-14-1185847
2025-10-07-1219958
2025-09-30-1207121
2025-09-23-1300198
2025-09-16-1403470
2025-09-09-1374961
2025-09-02-1296083
2025-08-26-1263082
2025-08-19-1324539
2025-08-12-1379597
2025-08-05-1325523
2025-07-29-1203237
2025-07-22-1248652
2025-07-15-1299860
2025-07-08-1266133
2025-07-01-1280648
2025-06-24-1230204
2025-06-17-1166397
2025-06-10-1180516
2025-06-03-1143925
2025-05-27-1119903
2025-05-20-1267331
2025-05-13-1222232
2025-05-06-1220793
2025-04-29-1206377
2025-04-22-1297995
2025-04-15-1254773
2025-04-08-1198109
2025-04-01-1226391
2025-03-25-1181586
2025-03-18-1220556
2025-03-11-1222215
2025-03-04-1171299
2025-02-25-1149453
2025-02-18-1289519
2025-02-11-1298612
2025-02-04-1218624
2025-01-28-1201559
2025-01-21-1174377
2025-01-14-1257206
2025-01-07-1193018
2024-12-31-1272610
2024-12-24-1252975
2024-12-17-1259273
2024-12-10-1254924
2024-12-03-1202899
2024-11-26-1234646
2024-11-19-1447344
2024-11-12-1423871

Historical AI commentary — 2026-07-07

This commentary is dated separately from the positioning table. It may describe an earlier market environment.

2y Treasury positioning is at historic extremes with Asset Managers at the 100th percentile long and Dealers at the 0th percentile short, but the 12-week trend shows speculative positions are actually declining from those extremes. This is a classic divergence where the market is at a potential inflection point, but the unwinding of positions suggests the move may already be underway.

How should this COT report be used?

Use positioning to understand exposure and crowded trades alongside price, liquidity and risk controls. Weekly reports generally describe Tuesday positions released on Friday, subject to the CFTC schedule. Classifications differ in TFF and Disaggregated reports. Compare like-for-like formats and dates.

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